{"id":64985,"date":"2011-02-10T18:25:46","date_gmt":"2011-02-10T14:25:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.epress.am\/?p=64985"},"modified":"2011-02-10T18:26:33","modified_gmt":"2011-02-10T14:26:33","slug":"less-risk-of-revolution-in-armenia-than-in-azerbaijan-stratfor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/2011\/02\/10\/less-risk-of-revolution-in-armenia-than-in-azerbaijan-stratfor.html","title":{"rendered":"Less Risk of Revolution in Armenia than in Azerbaijan: Stratfor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to Stratfor, a company that provides explanations of world events using intelligence and analysis based on geopolitics, the unrest in Egypt is unlikely to be repeated in Armenia or other post-Soviet countries.<\/p>\n<p>A recent report published by the Washington-based center notes that &#8220;Armenia is not typically prone to large-scale unrest and protests, though recently the country\u2019s opposition, led by former Armenian president and current head of the Armenian National Congress party Levon Ter-Petrossian, has called for a large rally Feb. 18 in Yerevan\u2019s Freedom [Liberty] Square, citing Egypt as an inspiration.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;But it is unclear if they will be able to demonstrate at Freedom Square at all, because soon after Ter-Petrossian\u2019s party revealed its protest plans, Yerevan city officials said Freedom Square would be off-limits because it would be the scene of &#8216;sporting and cultural events&#8217; from Feb. 15 to March 15.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;While the protest will be a key event worth monitoring closely, the opposition remains a limited force in terms of challenging the ruling authorities, so Armenia is the least at risk of the potential problem states,&#8221; reads the report, in part.<\/p>\n<p>The report names four states in the Caucasus and Central Asia that face more pressure and &#8220;have more underlying problems for regime stability and security&#8221; than other states. These are Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Armenia and Azerbaijan; however, as noted above, the American experts concluded that &#8220;Armenia is not typically prone to large-scale unrest and protests&#8221; and so is not as high a risk as the other three states.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Protests and opposition forces [in these countries] are more likely to create real problems for the ruling regimes. This is not to say these states will see the same scenario as Egypt,&#8221; the report concludes.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to Stratfor, the unrest in Egypt is unlikely to be repeated in Armenia or other post-Soviet countries.<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":64941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tstyn_error":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[21627,15118,16421,21619,16236],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64985"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64985\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/epress.am\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}